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Here we go again! Another Season, Another set of Survivors. After an awful result in my last season's prediction (I had Sophie pegged pre merge) I'm back with my thoughts on the new castaways and how I see them ending up in the game. THIS IS NOT A SPOILER BLOG!!!!
THIS WILL BE IN REVERSE ORDER
Monica- She maybe fit and active, but I can see her and Nina
butting heads for leadership within the women's tribe. Her
urgency to be the tribe's "mother" won't sit very well
with a lot of people (ask Patricia from Marquesas). I can see
her pissing people off because she thinks they're slacking off.
I just don't see her making the merge at all.
Prediction: 18th
Greg- Probably the resident cuckoo of his tribe. He has a lot of
Coach(?) and Jimmy T. persona in him but I'm afraid he might go
Philip on the tribe--and being the oldest, he may have a tough
time with his social game. BTW, This is the 3rd season
we've had a dude w/ a bizarre facial hair (Ralph, Rick comes to
mind) and to tell you the truth, its not looking pretty.
Prediction: 17th
Alicia- She is probably this season's chatty chick who wouldn't shut up.
(Rita, Stephanie V, Eliza, Christine, Carolina comes to mind)
Her interview gave me an impression of someone who's all talk
but never backs it up. Also, admitting that she's not in shape
as the others is a red flag, since she can be perceived as the
weakest tribe member.
Prediction: 16th/15th
Sabrina: Her interview comes off as "I wanna be the most entertaining
Black woman ever on Survivor" and I have a feeling it won't be
the case. Also, her aversion to bugs and germs will really
irritate everyone. I can see her and Alicia forming a bond, but
since they're not one of the stronger women, I can see her
go after Alicia does.
Prediction: 16th/15th
Kat- She comes off very naive--like a mixture of Jaime Dugan,
Ashley Trainer, Kelly Czarneki, and Natalie Tenerelli.
Once her usefulness is gone, she's disposable. I can see
her and Jay as a potential showmance and could be voted off
because of it.
Prediction: 14th
Leif- His interview didn't give me much about him and he was very
disconnected when he spoke. I don't know how he can relate with
others, but if he makes the merge, he's in a solid spot to
make it really far. But he has a tough uphill battle to
get there, especially if everyone thinks he's a threat to win
over sympathy votes.
Prediction: 13th
Bill- I like his story, but he came off too twitchy in his interview and
it made me uncomfortable. This could lead to him being
deemed unworthy if he's not careful. I wanted him to stay longer
since I find him as a comic relief and I would like someone with
an Afro make it far this time. If he does make it far, he could be
a dark horse coming into the finals. I could see him hitting it
off with Kim.
Prediction: 12th
Michael- He's the token 'boring' young guy this season (Keith last
season, Grant, Mike, Chase, etc.) I don't see him
having problems making it to the merge, but he will
be one of the first ones targeted afterwards if he's on an
outnumbered alliance. And him wanting to make a big move
is just gonna ruffle feathers like Albert did last season.
Prediction: 11th
Kourtney- I like how relatable she is, but she is the most
likely to have an emotional breakdown. She shares
Rupert's idea of how to play the game which doesn't
work on paper. I could see her getting picked on by her
tribe and probably will get voted out so they don't have
to deal with her.
Prediction: 10th
Chelsea- I like that she's not your typical blonde barbie. I
also like that she's not afraid to get down and dirty.
Unfortunately, I'm not convinced that her social skills
are as good as she claims to be. She could be a premerge
boot, cause even though she's fit, its not always the case
with women (ask Mikayla last season)
Prediction: 9th
Colton- Is a wild card for me. He's a snarkier version of Todd, but
I'm not sure if he'll be as successful. I can see him
defect w/ the women or be a strategic player with the men.
He can be easily taken out if he is perceived as a
strategic threat. I personally want him out early, but I have
a feeling he'll be around for a while since sounded pretty
convincing in his interview.
Prediction: 8th
Jonas- I see him as a secondary player, but not as a main person
who does the strategic moves. I see him as a passive character
who I can see being taken out because he is outside of an
alliance. He has a likeness factor that can allow him to slide
by if needed.
Prediction: 7th
Nina- She pretty much would likely assume leadership in the
women tribe early on with her background. I see her
as one of the power players and would likely to align
with a male-dominated alliance. I think she will be the
strong female this season and that is enough to find
her too threatening to be voted off.
Prediction: 6th
Jay- Yes, he has an odd voice, but its not a speech contest. He's a
potential physical threat, but I do believe that he can be
charming as well. I can see him hooking up with Kat or even Chelsea
and be the guy's best friend at the same time. Unfortunately, I
can see that as reason to vote him off once he looses immunity--
which I predict he'll win a lot this season.
Prediction: 5th
Christina- She has a lot of achievements, she's smart and
she knows how to sell herself which is a good thing
to have. I see her to be the "Older" sister that people
would turn to when it comes to decisions. She could
pose as too like able or too smart to keep around.
Prediction: 4th
Troy- I have a feeling Jeff Probst will give him the Boston Rob/Colby/
Rupert/Ozzy etc Hero worship this season. I see a mix of Ozzy
and Terry Dietz and I see him being popular w/ his tribemates
and will most likely be taken rather far in the game. I think
he will be more of a character than a strategist.
Prediction: 3rd
Matt- He's obviously the Alpha male type who would usurp the leader
role, not just in the tribe but the alliance as well. With passive
guys like Jay, Michael, Jonas and maybe Bill, he is the most
likely guy to make a solid alliance and take it all the way to the
end. It's a boring strategy but it does work. Unfortunately, he
didn't really come off as like able in his interview, so he may
loose to the jury over someone they like better.
Kim- I like her easy going vibe. It also helps that she's
perceptive and I do hope she stays around since
I enjoy her quirky persona and she's not bad to look
at. She may not be seen as a strategist, but she seem
likeable enough to garner the jury vote.
Prediction: Winner
On Day 7, Rashdu pulled a come-from-behind victory at the immunity challenge. At the Male' tribe, the original 6 (Brian, Cirie, Christie, Rupert, Jonathan and Natalie) agreed to stay together. Mean while, Brian has formed a seperate final 2 deal with each member of that alliance. When Cirie caught Brian making deals with outsiders Judd and Fairplay, Cirie and Jonathan found out that he has been making final 2 deals with everyone in the tribe all along. At tribal council, the confident Brian was blindsided by the members of his own alliance.
18 are left. who will be eliminated next?
RASHDU Tribe (YELLOW)
Colleen Haskell (Survivor Borneo)
Melissa McNulty (Withdrew before Fiji started)
Russell Hantz (Survivor 19, 20 & 22)
Jane Bright (Survivor Nicaragua)
Richard Hatch (Survivor 1 & 8)
Shii Ann Huang (Survivor 5 & 8) *Originally from Suva
Jerri Manthey (Survivor 2, 8 & 20) *absorbed from Chagos
Coach Wade (Survivor 18, 20, & 23) *absorbed from Chagos
Rodger Bingham (Survivor Australia) *Originally from Suva, absorbed from Chagos
MALE' Tribe (RED)
Christy Smith (Survivor Amazon)
Natalie Bolton (Survivor Micronesia)
Jonathan Penner (Survivor 13 & 16)
Cirie Fields (Survivor 12, 16 & 20)
Rupert Boneham (Survivor 7, 8 & 20)
Jud Sargeant (Survivor Guatemala) *originally from Suva
Johnny Fairplay (Survivor 7 & 26) *Absorbed from Chagos
Courtney Yates (Survivor 15 & 20) *Absorbed from Chagos
Parvati Shallow (Survivor 13, 16 & 20) *Absorbed from Chagos
ELIMINATED
Episode 1- LHOHI tribe (Kelly G, Sean R, Twila, Shane, Corinne & Cochran)
Episode 2- SUVA tribe (Shambo, Matt & Stephenie)
Episode 3- CHAGOS tribe (Ozzy *injured)
Episode 4- Boston Rob (Rashdu)
Episode 5- Brian (Male')
On Day 5, Male' has won immunity. Back at Rashdu, Boston Rob got Richard, Russell, Coach and Rodger to form an all-male alliance with Jane as their 6th. Boston Rob targets Jerri, but Russell wants Shii Ann out. Because of this, Russell told the women of Rob's plans. Instead of telling Rob what Russell did, Coach, threw away his vote to keep his hands clean and Boston Rob was voted off 5-4-1
19 are left. who will be eliminated next?
RASHDU Tribe (YELLOW)
Colleen Haskell (Survivor Borneo)
Melissa McNulty (Withdrew before Fiji started)
Russell Hantz (Survivor 19, 20 & 22)
Jane Bright (Survivor Nicaragua)
Richard Hatch (Survivor 1 & 8)
Shii Ann Huang (Survivor 5 & 8) *Originally from Suva
Jerri Manthey (Survivor 2, 8 & 20) *absorbed from Chagos
Coach Wade (Survivor 18, 20, & 23) *absorbed from Chagos
Rodger Bingham (Survivor Australia) *Originally from Suva, absorbed from Chagos
MALE' Tribe (RED)
Christy Smith (Survivor Amazon)
Brian Heidik (Survivor Thailand)
Natalie Bolton (Survivor Micronesia)
Jonathan Penner (Survivor 13 & 16)
Cirie Fields (Survivor 12, 16 & 20)
Rupert Boneham (Survivor 7, 8 & 20)
Jud Sargeant (Survivor Guatemala) *originally from Suva
Johnny Fairplay (Survivor 7 & 26) *Absorbed from Chagos
Courtney Yates (Survivor 15 & 20) *Absorbed from Chagos
Parvati Shallow (Survivor 13, 16 & 20) *Absorbed from Chagos
ELIMINATED
Episode 1- LHOHI tribe (Kelly G, Sean R, Twila, Shane, Corinne & Cochran)
Episode 2- SUVA tribe (Shambo, Matt & Stephenie)
Episode 3- CHAGOS tribe (Ozzy *injured)
Episode 4- Boston Rob (Rashdu)
On Day 3, the tension between the 3 tribes living on the same beach escalates. Before the tribes go on a challenge, Ozzy injured himself when he fell off a coconut tree and was evacuated for surgery. With the Chagos tribe down one person, the challenge was cancelled and the tribe was dissolved. Male' chose Courtney, Parvati and Fairplay and Rashdu absorbs Rodger, Jerri and Coach
20 are left and the two final tribes tribes are set. who will be eliminated next?
RASHDU Tribe (YELLOW)
Colleen Haskell (Survivor Borneo)
Rob Mariano (Survivor 4,8,20 & 22)
Melissa McNulty (Withdrew before Fiji started)
Russell Hantz (Survivor 19, 20 & 22)
Jane Bright (Survivor Nicaragua)
Richard Hatch (Survivor 1 & 8)
Shii Ann Huang (Survivor 5 & 8) *Originally from Suva
Jerri Manthey (Survivor 2, 8 & 20) *absorbed from Chagos
Coach Wade (Survivor 18, 20, & 23) *absorbed from Chagos
Rodger Bingham (Survivor Australia) *Originally from Suva, absorbed from Chagos
MALE' Tribe (RED)
Christy Smith (Survivor Amazon)
Brian Heidik (Survivor Thailand)
Natalie Bolton (Survivor Micronesia)
Jonathan Penner (Survivor 13 & 16)
Cirie Fields (Survivor 12, 16 & 20)
Rupert Boneham (Survivor 7, 8 & 20)
Jud Sargeant (Survivor Guatemala) *originally from Suva
Johnny Fairplay (Survivor 7 & 26) *Absorbed from Chagos
Courtney Yates (Survivor 15 & 20) *Absorbed from Chagos
Parvati Shallow (Survivor 13, 16 & 20) *Absorbed from Chagos