Damn, so long since I logged on here-but when season 27 cast is released, I had to write it down here and make a first impression/early prediction of how this season is gonna play out.
Yes, there's redemption island (boo!) that probably means we'll have a string of female early boots with a guy or two in there, maybe a 12 person merge but I predict a final 5 of men this season, making way for its 15th male winner.
Here's my August boot order for now:
***PRE-MERGE (SITTING WITH THE AUDIENCE AT THE REUNION)***
20th Katie- Each season, there's one useless young chick that gets voted
out early and I think its her this season. Despite her Mother obviously
embellishing her on the interviews, Katie doesn't look athletic
and someone who only has a social game to rely on is in trouble from
the get go (what if no one likes you there?) On the first impression vote-off,
she's easily a target from the loved ones tribe. I can see Colton eating her alive.
19th- Colton- Speaking of. He was only brought back since America didn't see
him get deservingly voted out but It would've been interesting to see him
play, but his reputation is too hard to overcome especially when your playing
for a million bucks. I can see Monica leading the charge to vote him right off the
bat.
18th- Rachel- I feel like she doesn't wanna be there. That's a red flag. I can see her
getting by when her team wins immunities, but I peg her as the whiner
of this season and maybe even potentially quit.
17th- Candice- I think Her 8th-8th streak will be tarnished after this season. I think
Rupert will be gunning for her and w/o John she's known for not being able to handle
stress and paranoia too well. She comes off as the person who tells people what to
do in her interview and that's a red flag on Survivor.
16th- Kat- If Katie is the useless on in the loved one's tribe, she's the appendix
of the returning player's tribe. She really lucked out in One World to
make it far but I don't see her meshing well with the other Returnees.
15th- Laura B- She may be strong and outdoor savvy but she has to get
through pre-merge w/o Rupert and that's hard. I think
she's underestimating that she's gonna be good in challenges
and that the others will go under her wing.
14th- Caleb- Caleb is gonna be in trouble for being associated w/ Colton and he
doesn't look athletic enough to perform well in challenges. He's also
too laid back to make alliances and connections to get him through
the game.
13th- Cierra- She doesn't seem like an outdoors-y person and I don't think she's
capable of doing well in challenges or any strategy. There's one chick
each season who doesn't get much airtime until they are voted off
mid-season (ie Julia, women of Kalabaw, Sydney etc) and I think its
gonna be her.
MERGE (JURORS)
12th- Monica- She would do well with her husband, but I wonder if she can survive the
tribal phase without him. I can see her either meshing with Laura or
rivaling her. I can see her husband being a hot head and I think she
will end up paying dearly for him in the game.
11th- Hayden- Hopefully he won't do the predictable thing and forge and all-male
alliance from the get go, but hey whatever works. I can see
him skate by with his skills in challenges and social game, but
I see him as an early target when it comes to the merge. No one would
wanna let a guy win 2 reality shows. Also, its bad for Survivor that
a winner from another show conquered it.
10th- Brad- He sounded a little too confident in his interview and I hope he
doesn't turn out like Jeff Kent did in S25. If without Monica, he's gonna
struggle playing the game and his NFL background will be too hard to
ignore. I can see him snapping at a few people as well. He's another
threat coming into the merge.
9th- Tyson- Oh please, please please--let him be blindsided the 3rd time! He's a
challenge threat, he's easy to manipulate and he intentionally rubs
people the wrong way. I don't see him making it to the finals. He
is clearly there for comic relief.
8th- Laura- Being an alpha female, I can see her bonding w/ Tina & Monica but
She is one of the few who can take a group of men under her wing just
like in Samoa. The downside is that Laura has a competitive, dominating
presence and I can see her being blindsided by her own alliance cause she's
too much of a threat.
7th- Marissa- She is teetering into the stereotype of a black female on this show.
She is gonna benefit a lot from her uncle's being in Season 1 and I see both of
them being the most safe out of the pairs & go under the radar. She's athletic, but
is she smart enough to hold her tongue and make alliances? I can see her
going out before her uncle when the number dwindles and there's no where else to
hide.
6th- Tina- She has 3 things going against her. Tina won the highest-rated
season of Survivor to date, and people will identify her that
more than being the first boot in All Stars. Second, she is
probably the oldest female in the tribe and third, Survivor has
changed over the years but I think she can slide by quietly but will be denied
access to the finals for being too much of a jury threat. I can see her and Aras
working together as previous winner kind of like she did with Colby in the Outback.
5th- Vytas- He is sounded so obsessed about beating his brother that he came off
kinda naive that his only loyalty--Aras would keep him to
the end and I doubt that. I really hope he's more entertaining on the show, cause
having him go far and be bland will kill the mood of this season for me.
4th- Gervase- Being a season 1 returnee will earn him points which will be in
his best advantage. Though I don't find him controlling one, I
think he earns enough respect to be in a dominant alliance going
into the merge.
3rd- John- He is a wild card for me. He's gonna be good in challenges, but
he is a fish out of water without Candice. I can see him as the
endearing Eddie of this season since I don't see Candice lasting too long
and he's gonna be playing in the dark most of the time. Even
though he seems likeable like Aras, he doesn't have the experience
or the strategic ability to overcome him in that department. He's Mick 2.0
getting no votes from the jury.
2nd- Aras- He has a shot to go really far or win. his likeability negates the
fact that he is probably one of the challenge threat this season.
The only bad thing about it is that he wasn't that
entertaining the first time and his win will feel predictable
since he seems the most balanced of all the other players
Winner- Rupert- Ugh. It's like the same character over and over again. But
This time, its Rupert part 4--with wife! Like he said, he
is too naive and trusting and I think that's his downfall.
I don't see this time being any different but I hope he wins so
he can freaking retire from our TV screens )I hope I doesn't
cause it'll be another Boston Rob-like wins and I'd rather
see Aras win twice)
-As your prize, you will be automatically entered as the returning champion on the next Survivor game. You will also gain immunity from Episode 1 & your first tribal appearance as well as immunity from the first 5 votes against you.
A BIG thank you to all who signed up and particapted in my games. We will do this all over again as I start our 12th Survivor Voting Blog Game--Survivor Panama. You may sign up in advance (Aras & Cirie are taken) if I decide to do it.