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Survivor S40 Power Rankings (Top 12 + 8 EoE)

Mar 25, 2020 by PowerRankings101

This is a very interesting week given we’ve lost two major legends of the game (bravo on that incredible move, Denise!) and we have four people per tribe! The way I’m going to organize these rankings is, I’m going to put people with big advantages at the top, and the bottom three are going to be the most vulnerable person from each tribe. Because I have no idea who’s gonna win immunity, it could easily be one of three people on each tribe. Essentially, 10, 11, and 12 are ALL my predictions to go home, just depending on who loses (which I am LEANING toward Sele losing because this is the water disk challenge that Nick lost miserably in David vs. Goliath, and I expect his tribe to lose again).

12. Wendell Holland- Oh Wendell. I will defend Wendell, I don’t think he’s a mean spirited guy or even a villain. But they are painting him a bit negatively. He stayed loyal with Nick and Yul, but said he was willing to backstab his alliance if need be. Not the words you want to be saying in a tribal council with small amounts of people left on your tribe. I worry that Wendell’s mouth is going to sink his ship. I feel like his tribe will lose, and this season has been heavily focused on him and Michele’s relationship. Should Michele get in Nick’s ear, she may be able to finally take out Wendell, something she seems like she’s wanted to do for some time. I worry that Wendell’s edit is pointing him toward becoming the last pre-merge boot.

11. Tony Vlachos- Tony dodged a BIG bullet last week. Had Denise went along with Sandra’s plan, Tony would’ve been sent home with a single vote, and have to be on Extinction Island with Rob, Tyson, and the rest. Tony has a fighting chance, but he’s going to NEED his tribe to win immunity so he can reconnect with Sarah on the other side in the merge. Right now, Tony is on the outs. Kim doesn’t seem too tight with him, and Jeremy and Denise will be closer than ever before after that big move. Tony needs to find an idol or hope for an immunity win, or I think they’ll gang up on him and send the biggest threat home. He IS the biggest threat now that Sandra and Parv went home, so immunity is his only hope before this merge.

10. Adam Klein- Adam would be my lowest ranked person because he’s CLEARLY on the outs of his tribe (especially given how close we saw Ben, Sophie, and Sarah getting in the last episode), but his tribe was able to beat BOTH Sele and Dakal last week. There’s no reason to believe they’ll lose this one, especially given how cohesive the tribe is, and how they’re running on the high of last week having won the last immunity. Adam should be okay as long as his tribe wins, but if they lose, he’s obviously toast.

9. Michele Fitzgerald- While I really think the edit is made to make us root for Michele over Wendell, I can’t help but recognize that Michele IS on the outs of her tribe. It’s Yul, Nick, Wendell vs. Michele. And Michele DOES have fire tokens, but I don’t know what she can do with them that would save her from being voted out should they lose. I do think Michele’s strength is in two things. 1) Her edit. She’s been such a positive presence of this season, and I just don’t see her going home this early given her screen time. 2) Her persuasion. She is very persuasive and could swing Nick over. There’s also a part of her that may even want to work with Wendell. While I think she’s on the outs, I don’t think she’s out yet.

8. Yul Kwon- Yul is in a really good position on his tribe, and seems to be tight with Nick and Wendell, but a few factors of this season are working against him. The obvious is that Yul is the only Old School player left. Amber, Danni, Ethan, Tyson, Rob, Parvati, and Sandra were ALL Old School, so if the trend continues, Yul is next. My other worry is if Michele is able to somehow work with Wendell rather than against Wendell, they could easily take out Yul, who is far more threatening than Nick. I don’t think it’ll happen, but with a tribe of four people, and a likely chance that they’ll lose the challenge, even a guy like Yul is vulnerable. I hope it doesn’t happen, but again, with four people on a tribe, there’s nowhere to hide.

7. Ben Driebergen- Ben should easily be safe, but should his tribe lose, it’s not going to be Sarah and it’s not going to be Sophie. It’ll either be Ben or Adam. Adam is the easy boot, but the easy boot usually never goes home, which makes me think that maybe there’s a chance Ben goes. But his tribe should win, so I am not too worried.

6. Nick Wilson- Nick is the safest one on his tribe, but I DO think his tribe is gonna lose this week. Nick’s tribe lost this challenge back in David vs. Goliath, and Nick hasn’t had the best track record in competitions this season (remember when he was targeted by Tyson for being bad in challenges?). With a merge looming, I don’t think Nick’s challenge strength will come into play. A few weeks ago, maybe. I think Nick will survive the night no matter how responsible he is for a potential immunity loss. He seems to have the most paths to choose from in terms of voting, and I think he’ll be in a good spot going forward into the merge and beyond.

5. Denise Stapley- Denise just made a huge move that likely turned the tides of the game. I don’t think anyone views her as too huge of a threat, but should someone like Tony or Kim become intimidated by the move Denise made, she could find some heat and a vote or two may come her way. I do think she set herself up in a good spot going forward, though, and I’m proud that she had the guts to make a move that ballsy.

4. Jeremy Collins- Jeremy still has his “get out of tribal free” card, and has a new bound trust with Denise. Playing the idol on Jeremy was incredibly smart for Denise, as she didn’t know if Sandra was going to pull a fast one on HER, and it solidifies her trust with Jeremy going forward. I like Jeremy’s chances, but as more and more people like Sandra and Parvati go home, he becomes a more and more visible threat. I feel like he’s okay right now, because he even seems to have Tony wanting to work with him too. He has lots of room to maneuver.

3. Kim Spradlin-Wolfe- Kim has an idol, and she is essentially the swing vote between Tony and the alliance of Denise/Jeremy. She’s safe, and in a good spot, and if she can hold onto her idol going into the merge, she’ll be in an even better spot.

2. Sarah Lacina- Sarah has a steal a vote, a tight alliance with Sophie, and a new bond with Ben. She’s looking good right now, and just has to pray that Tony survives this week so she can reunite Cops R Us in the merge.

1. Sophie Clarke- Sophie won that challenge for her tribe, and she has an idol to top it off. Sophie is golden headed into a merge, and even should one of her alliance members in Wendell or Yul go home, she has enough other bonds to ease her way into the merge. I really like Sophie’s chances, and she has been one of the breakout stars of this season. She’s doing so well, I almost want to go back and watch the travesty that was Season 23: South Pacific.

People with idols are safe, people with advantages are also likely safe. We’ll see how fire tokens come into play, if at all. I do think the most likely tribe to lose is Sele, and it’ll be interesting to see if Michele can find a way to sway Nick or Yul, or even work with Wendell. I do think the edit is setting up for a Michele and Wendell showdown, and because of how Wendell acted last week, I feel like Nick and Yul may actually flip and join Michele in voting Wendell out.

PREDICTIONS:

Going Home- Wendell Holland

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And now for the EXTINCTION ISLAND rankings:

8. Sandra Diaz-Twine- Sandra may raise the flag this week. Actually, I have a good feeling she will. She seems to have accomplished everything she wants to accomplish. She won twice. She has nothing left to prove, and KNOWS she can’t beat pretty much anyone in a challenge. The only reason she’d stick around is to help award one of the men the title of sole Survivor, because she doesn’t want another woman to become the queen. I don’t even think she’d stay for self pride. She’s already proven herself and her worth, and I don’t think it makes her a quitter if she leaves (even if it is essentially quitting). We’ll see, but if anyone is likely to raise the flag, it’s her.

7. Amber Mariano- Parvati just got to extinction, and she seems to be in a similar archetype physically as Amber and Danni, and Parvati has proven in the past to be much better in challenges than Amber, and probably better than Danni.

6. Danni Boatwright- Like I said, I think Parvati is the best of the mom squad out on Extinction, and has the best track record of challenge wins, which probably doesn’t fare too well for Danni, who has a similar competition style.

5. Parvati Shallow- As much as I just said that Danni and Amber probably can’t beat Parvati in a challenge, I don’t necessarily know if Parvati can beat many of the bigger guys or Natalie. She just hasn’t been a super big standout in challenges this season. I wish she was, but it looks like Parv’s rein may be over.

4. Ethan Zohn- Ethan is super athletic, but I still don’t see him beating Rob, Tyson, or Natalie in a challenge this season. I think his big moment happened, and we’ll see little of Ethan going forward this season.

3. Rob Mariano- Rob having Parvati and Sandra there should create an interesting dynamic. I wonder what’ll happen. I wish they showed a bit more of his reunion with Amber, as they barely showcased it. He still has a shot to come back, but it’ll be tough to beat the people I put at one and two.

2. Natalie Anderson- Natalie has been absent the past few weeks, which has me a bit worried. I’m not totally worried, but just a bit. She has been a huge topic of conversation with the fire tokens, I just hope that now that the contestants are finding ways to use fire tokens for strategy that Natalie doesn’t take a back seat. I hope she is still a prominent part of this season, though the past few weeks have kept her a bit hidden.

1. Tyson Apostol- Tyson is becoming a clearer and cleared returnee frontrunner for me. He bought a whole thing of peanut butter, which is pure protein. I think Tyson is going to be stronger than ever going into a challenge where he ALREADY has a leg up on so many people. The only people I could see contending with him are Natalie and Rob, and neither of them have had the same amount of protein that Tyson and his peanut butter have.

PREDICTIONS:

Quitting- Queen Sandra

Staying on Extinction Island- Natalie, Amber, Danni, Ethan, Tyson, Rob, and Parvati

#survivor

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Stats:

1. Sophie (+5)
2. Sarah (+3)
3. Kim (-2)
4. Jeremy —
5. Denise (-3)
6. Nick (+3)
7. Ben (+3)
8. Yul (-1)
9. Michele (-1)
10. Adam (+4)
11. Tony (+1)
12. Wendell (-1)

Biggest Rise: Sophie (+5)
Biggest Drop: Denise (-3)

Sent by PowerRankings101,Mar 25, 2020

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Survivor S40 Power Rankings (Top 12 + 8 EoE)

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