Since I don't have enough time / energy to write about every country, I will write a little blurb about who I think will be in the top 5. At the end, I'll list my full predictions in a list. Also, I'm usually subpar with guessing, but this year literally anything could happen and everything is still VERY open, so please take my predictions with a grain of salt. Anyways, let's start with...
1. Netherlands
Arcade by Duncan Laurence
I still really think this is going to take the victory. No one likes a predictable Eurovision final, but I think Duncan's win is inevitable at this point. He definitely won S2 considering he got a great spot in the running order, his song will appeal to both the juries and the televotes, and I just think this is a very good entry that deserves the win. Yes, people are saying this isn't a *winners* staging, but I think the simplicity will really help it stand out, especially being between Cyprus and Greece. Also, Israel didn't have the best staging last year, yet had the most popular song, which gave it the win. I think the same will be the same with the Netherlands this year, and I really think and hope that they'll be able to win!!
2. Australia
Zero Gravity by Kate Miller-Heidke
I think that Australia is going to be the runner up again this year, sadly for them. I think it may even be a little lower since the Europeans usually don't vote too heavily for Australia, and because juries usually don't rank opera songs too high. Yet, I still see this coming in second because everything about this entry is great. The staging elevates an already great song to be even better, and the running order also really helps this entry. This is definitely getting a deserved top 5 this year!
3. Switzerland
She Got Me by Luca Hänni
This is also benefitting a lot from having a great draw. Luca sounded fantastic last night, and I'm sure that he's going to do great with both the juries and the televotes. A lot of people compare this to Fuego too, and while I don't think it's as high impact which will cost it the win, I still think a lot of people are really going to love this song, and the running order also really helps this one out. While I'm not sure it'll finish this high, I think Switzerland definitely has a top 5 placing coming this year.
4. Sweden
Too Late For Love by John Lundvik
I wasn't really sure where to place this, because I KNOW the juries are going to rank this high. However, I literally just ranked the songs by YouTube views and Sweden is 10th from the semi, being the second lowest of the qualifiers (only higher than Denmark l0l). I feel like there is a very high probability that this will be another Cesar Sampson, where the juries absolutely love the entry, but the televotes don't rank it as high. Sweden should still be receiving a decent result though, and if the statistics of YouTube views don't really mean anything and he ends up being much more popular than it appears, I could see this challenging for the win.
5. Russia
Scream by Sergey Lazarev
Does this song deserve to be this high? Absolutely not. Will it receive top 5 because it's Sergey and will be representing Russia? Definitely. I mean him performing early doesn't really mean much, because we all know all of his fans in Eastern Europe will be hyping him up and voting for him regardless. Still don't think this will receive a very high jury score, but you never know. I really don't think this has a chance to win, but it should have no problem achieving Russia a good score again.
-FULL PREDICTIONS-
1. Netherlands
2. Australia
3. Switzerland
4. Sweden
5. Russia
6. Italy
7. Azerbaijan
8. Malta
9. Greece
10. Iceland
11. Cyprus
12. France
13. Norway
14. North Macedonia
15. Spain
16. Serbia
17. Czech Republic
18. Belarus
19. Slovenia
20. Albania
21. United Kingdom
22. Estonia
23. Denmark
24. Israel
25. San Marino
26. Germany
**In making these predictions I realized just how strong this year is and how many songs actually deserve the top 10. I think it'll be more interesting to see who fills out the top 10 more so than seeing the actual winner**
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Also please feel free to leave your thoughts/opinions down below :)
Ugh I really hope so!! I feel like them putting Jonida 2nd though is telling that she didn’t get a high ranking in the semi. Plus we all know 2nd is historically the worst positioning (hasn’t gotten out of the top 20 since 2014), however, I would be VERY pleased if Jonida breaks the curse
