Lahua:
- Adam (AdamLovesEverything): He didn't show up to the premiere and hasn't sent any confessionals. However, since his tribe hasn't been to tribal it's not too surprising. He definitely has potential to appear as an entertaining character, but unless he picks it up then it seems he will quickly be forgotten. Not much to write home about here.
- Logan (Chillum): Also missed the premiere, but has actually sent in some confessionals since then. The first one he states he's glad his tribe won him immunity since he's afraid he would've gotten voted out if they had lost. I presume he says that because he missed the challenge, rather than any talks he's had with anyone. His second he declares his desire to prove to his tribe, interestingly, that "he's a good player". Obviously, it's good to prove your usefulness to your tribe, but I don't think proving he's a good player is really something to strive for this early on. He's another person I don't know anything about and don't have high expectations. He seems fine so far, but just a background character that won't have a very large effect on the game moving forward. Of course, it is still very early and much can and will change. But as of the first episode, he's clearly a background player.
- Dono (donosaurus_rex): The clear star of this tribe. He showed up to the premiere and scored 2/4 points for his tribe. Very impressive. But the more impressive part was, of course, his confessional outlining his GRAPE strategy. He has a clear understanding of the game(as if that was in question) and definitely has the skills(and experience) to win the game. He's also charmingly entertaining which is wonderful to see. I agree with Cody that there is a Robby/me comparison to be made(mostly in the fact that we are both incredibly good looking)! And I would not be shocked to see him have a similar story arc in which he is a influential and strong player premerge and early merge before meeting his downfall late in the game. In fact I would say that I expect that to happen rather than see him win the game. He is not my winner pick, but I do think he's the clear front runner.
I am almost certain he will run his tribe premerge and run circles around his tribemates. I would be genuinely shocked(and disappointed) to see this not happen. If his tribe continues to win many immunities then his strong social game will send him into the merge with a solid and strong alliance, however, he will also enter with a large target on his back due to other strong players being well aware of how dangerous he is. Luckily for him, there's doesn't seem(yet) to be a Brady this season to openly call him out on his scheming and plots, so he could definitely "remain in the shadows" if he so desires.
My opinion on his GRAPE plan.
GAIN TRUST: He shows a very clear and strong understanding of the social game here. "Each tribe mate has to have their own flavor" is probably one of, if not my favorite line said in a confessional so far. It is so true and yet the majority of people on this site don't seem to realize it and even if they do they don't know how to incorporate it into their game. An impressive start to his plan.
RECEDE INTO SHADOWS: He mentions his reputation and the worry of it playing a role in this game. Which is a worry that I knew very well headed into my season. I doubt the majority of players this season know who he is or who he is capable of, but we know for a fact that Erik does. And I suspect a couple others do. Luckily for him, no one on his tribe appears to be one of those people. But once he makes the merge if anyone who does know him is also there then he could run into a lot of trouble.
This part of his plan is also very good. He obviously realizes he can't come out too strong(unlike some others this season fail to realize *cough* X *cough*), but that doesn't mean he has to sit back and do nothing. Once again, he shows an obvious understanding of the game.
ASSUME LEADERSHIP: I don't know if you have to necessarily be a leader to win survivor, but you do have to make decisions based on whether or not they benefit you and only you. This is the weakest part of the plan to me. And depending on which part of the game he takes this leader role will determine whether or not he wins(from what I can tell). If he takes it too soon then he is doomed. And I worry that he will take it too soon.
PREDICT ENEMY MOVES: Shows another clear understanding of a very important part of the game. Fact is, most people either directly or indirectly tell you what their plan is. It's up to you to find the relevant information to figure out what they're telling you. If he succeeds in that, then he will succeed in this part of his plan.
ESTABLISH DOMINANCE: This isn't a very substance filled section, it basically just says that he wins. Which if it does happen, will indeed be glorious.
Notes on his tribe assessment:
- Potential power duo with Ryan? Could be a fun thing to look out for.
- Also a potential alliance of the people who showed up to the challenge(Dono, Ryan, Patrick, Quinn) is another thing to look out for.
- He's done his research on his tribe, which is very fun to read and shows a lot of promise.
- Patrick (Pokepat): Patrick showed up to the premiere and scored 1/4 points for his tribe. Also sent 1 confessional. Not a lot of "screentime", but a healthy amount for someone whose tribe hasn't been to tribal yet. He knows Ryan, but not well enough to trust him. I could see him playing a big role this season.
- Ryan (Born2Pizza): Showed up to the premiere and scored 1/4 points for his tribe. No confessionals, but he's gotten talked about a bit from his more talkative tribemates. Despite us not getting his perspective and despite Dono being an exciting frontrunner, I think Ryan is actually starting this game from the best position of everyone in his tribe. What he does with it is clearly still up in the air, but if he plays well he could easily make the merge. He's got somewhat of a bond with Patrick. While Patrick says he doesn't necessarily trust him yet, that should be a relatively easy bond for him to get going. On top of that, he's got a very good relationship going with Dono already. He could definitely be the glue that brings together the potential alliance of the people who showed up to the premiere. Unless he flops and is inactive, he will easily be a big player on his tribe. Very excited to see what he does with this situation.
- Quinn (NeonGrape1): Showed up to the premiere, but didn't score any points. Didn't send any confessionals, didn't really get mentioned much in confessionals. Dono called him young and naive. So far, I'd agree with that. Not much to go off of, but he doesn't seem like a particularly interesting character. I expect to see him just float along with the majority and be a background character this season, but I hope to be surprised.
Predictions:
This tribe continues to be the strongest in challenges(but not by too much)
When they do head to tribal Patrick, Dono, Ryan, and Quinn get together and vote off Adam. Logan votes with them but isn't in the core alliance.
Dono, Patrick, and Ryan will all be large and influential characters this season.
The other 3 will all be small background characters. Even if they do make merge.
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