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The Ad555's blog

Posts 43 posts

Survivor Cagayan: Tony - A Russell Hantz/Philip Sheppard Amalgamation?? May 14, 2014
imageThus far on #Survivor Cagayan a lot of comparisons have been made to the game play of Tony Vlachos to a more infamous player in Survivor History, Russell Hantz. Whilst they do bare a lot of gameplay resemblance, in Tony I see a lot of Philip Sheppard also. Is Tony the freakish offspring of the gameplay of Russell Hantz and Philip Sheppard?

The comparisons between Tony and Russell are widely known. The strategical ethos of both players are largely similar and follow three basic points. Firstly they want to be seemingly the head of an alliance, secondly they want to dictate who their alliance votes for and thirdly to always have an insurance policy. That insurance policy we've seen them both do flawlessly in their seasons, the procurement of the hidden immunity idols without so much as a clue. For as much as they are similar though, they are different. Tony seems like he would never destroy his own tribe from within by getting rid of the fire, people's shoes and so forth and wants to build a solid trustworthy alliance, whereas with Russell, it's every man for himself from day one. So how does he resemble Philip then?

The biggest think that links their games is that both of them suffer from extreme paranoia during the game. We've seen multiple times Tony pull the trigger on someone at the merest suggestion. Philip was much the same in Survivor Caramoan, he had that same paranoia that Andrea was gonna vote against him every tribal council. Tony goes as far as to make 'spyshacks' in camp, near the water well and anywhere where people generally talk strategy. Philip in an attempt to communicate more covertly gave people codenames. Both are and were so clearly paranoid about people overhearing what they were doing.

To sum up Tony? He's got that bit of a look of Russell strategical thinking about him, his paranoia in the game is to the levels of which Philip had. All that is missing is seeing Tony in a head bandana and a pair of pink y-fronts and the amalgamation is well and truly complete ... although I hate to think what that would look like. :D
Points: 168 9 comments
Survivor Cagayan: Woo, restricted and a bad edit?? May 12, 2014
So far on #Survivor Cagayan the biggest complaint towards Woo has been that he has been strategically non-existent, this is largely true as it is hard to pinpoint a direct move that Woo has orchestrated to further his own game. Has this been his own fault though, or has he had to adapt to circumstances beyond his control which has not been showcased in his edit??

Post merge, all the plaudits and the edits showcasing the physical displays of the survivors in challenges have gone towards Tasha and Spencer who finished numbers 1 and 2 in a few challenges. Statistically however, the best player in the challenges in Survivor Cagayan thus far has been Woo. Through pre merge and 1 individual immunity challenge Woo has been immune from being voted out on 6 occasions, once more than Tasha, twice more than Spencer. Also in the individual immunities this season when Spencer and Tasha were finishing 1st and 2nd, Woo was more often than not in 3rd and in 2nd on occasion also (table maze), were Spencer and Tasha's wins out of needs must and extra energy exerted? Were they more comfortable with their position, would Woo have gone on an immunity streak?

The brawn's physical dominance saw Woo's first tribal council coming in the tribe switch up where he found himself in the minority of Cliff's blindside. Whilst this seems to support the notion of Woo's strategic naivety the aftermath of the blindside showcases Woo's restrictive capacity to make moves in the game. Lindsey quitting straight after this tribal council meant Woo had gone from waking up one day with 4 brawn allies to waking up the next with seemingly none. Had Lindsey not of quit, would we have seen a more strategical side to Woo trying to save him and Lindsey? Faced with 0 allies Woo did the only thing he could do and get back in with his remaining brawn tribe members and did so successfully. Had there been another tribal for the new Solana tribe we could have seen Woo make his first move to blindside LJ or Jefra. However his and his tribe's physical presence saw them win immunity and protected Woo from the vote. Thus leaving the 5 of them needing to be a cohesive unit post merge thus restricting Woo's movements again.

As aforementioned, at the merge Woo won individual immunity and found himself in the majority. He found himself in a position of being the second of the most polarizing figure in the game, Tony. Having made no real enemies throughout the game and being arguably the most likeable character to the rest of his fellow survivors remaining in the game, worked his way into the majority and allied with Tony, whose enemies have only ever thought to vote Woo once, would you break away and make a move against what is seemingly one of the most safest positions left in the game??
Points: 233 4 comments
Survivor Cagayan: Trish has made more and better moves than everyone else May 11, 2014
Now before you click that neg button hear me out now ;D lol. This season's #Survivor Cagayan has been anything but predictable, with 18 new faces to the game bringing with them new ideas and strategies it has been one of the most refreshing seasons in a while. In between all the strategical twists and big egos on display though, one player has received a next to zero edit and has a lot of people hating her for being 'Tony's floater', but does Trish deserve this image?

Looking at the final 5 in Survivor Cagayan and what apparent moves they have made and the impact they have had on their game, I would say that Trish has made the most moves and the best moves in this season's Survivor.

1. Woo

Brawns never went to tribal before the tribe switch up
At the switch up Woo found himself in the minority on the Cliff blindside
Post Merge he has just followed Tony's lead.

Total Moves: 0

2. Spencer

First vote, he chooses to blindside David to protect his first ally Garrett. Arguably a good move as Garrett/David would have continued to be fixated with one another.
At tribe switch up, it is Spencer who pinpoints Alexis as who is most likely to flip in a post merge scenario, it was a good read and a good move to vote her out.
Post merge, Spencer plays on Tony's paranoia and puts it into Tony's mind that an all girl alliance exists and will vote him out, makes Tony vote Jefra and he stays in the game.

Total moves: 3 - All good moves

3. Kass

Second vote, chooses to side with J'Tia and Tasha to vote out Garrett. Considering she would have been in the majority of the tribe either way eliminating Garrett over J'Tia was just asking for them to be sent to tribal again, shocking move.
Next tribal it is Kass who makes the decision to save Spencer over J'Tia. Having first made the mistake of saving J'Tia over Garrett, Kass makes the correct move here. Saving J'Tia would have just put a bigger target on herself.
Post merge, she flips from her 6 where she was nicely placed in the top 3 to form another 6 where she currently resides at either 3/4. Whether it was the right move is still yet to be determined but it is hugely questionable.

Total Moves: 3 - 1 Good, 1 Bad, 1 Undetermined.

4. Tony

Tony made no outlandish moves before the merge, he made spyshacks, pretended he wasn't a cop but made no moves, the only time he went to tribal was during the Cliff blindside which he was part of but did not orchestrate.
Tony's first move is the LJ blindside. An ok move on the face of it, he feared LJ was plotting against him in the long run, whilst it was in LJ's mind to do so it certainly wasn't in the forefront. Arguably a good move due to the growing relationship between LJ/Trish which could have complicated the game further down the line.
Only Tony's second real move and his last so far, the Jefra blindside. A move made so much out of paranoia. It was a bad move on so many levels, you fracture your alliance's trust once with the LJ blindside and then you choose to eliminate a floater over threats such as Tasha/Spencer? Could have backfired badly in terms of fracturing his alliance although he probably felt safer than safe with his TP idol.

Total Moves: 2 - 1 good, 1 bad.

5. Trish

Trish's first move comes as she chooses to blindside Cliff. Out of everyone in her tribe she was furthest from Cliff and Lindsey and if brawns had of gone on a run to the final 6 they'd have most likely put votes towards her. Great move to bring her closer in to her tribe.
Lindsey quitting comes after the Cliff blindside, the main reason given for her quitting being Trish ..... however whiny and pathetic an exit it is ... gotta give credit to Trish for eliminating her, 1 less person .. 1 step closer to the million and it wasn't someone she was gonna ally with at any time.
Trish's third move comes at the merge where she persuades Kass to flip and vote out Sarah. Faced with a minority this was such a clever play by Trish playing on the tensions between Kass and Sarah to put the vote in her alliance's favour.
Trish's fourth and final move thus far comes during the episode where Jeremiah is voted out. Faced with a wavering Jefra, Trish calls out Tony to keep Jefra on their alliance's side. Without this the vote would more than likely have been 4-4 and make Trish draw rocks. A great personal save.

Total Moves: 4 - All good :D

Tony is so not what he is cracked up to be ;D

#TeamTrish
Points: 131 16 comments
Could Trish beat Spencer in the jury?? May 9, 2014
Out of the final 5 in #Survivor Cagayan, most people seem to be under the impression that if Spencer reaches the final, that is it, he has won ... but has he? I would argue that Trish can gain enough support from the jury to topple Spencer should they be sat together. If it is a final 2 like some people are saying it might be,  Trish would be favourite to get the following votes:

Tony
Woo
Kass
LJ
Jefra

With only Tasha/Jeremiah/Morgan/Sarah still to vote.

By the same logic, would it be a 4-4 tie if it were a final 3 if they had say Woo in the final with them?? Tony in the final could easily scupper this as he would attract the Woo vote but he couldn't win against Spencer with the enemies he has made within his own camp, but if he was on the jury .... a Trish vs Spencer showdown could be decided simply by who gives the better jury speech and manages to sway a solitary single vote.
Points: 133 16 comments
Is it just me ... May 8, 2014
or are more Americans interested in Eurovision than actual Europeans on here?? Strange happenings going on :D #Eurovision
Points: 31 3 comments
Survivor Final 5: Who is going home next?? May 8, 2014
From most likely to least likely ....

1. Spencer

He needs to do what Tasha did previous to him and go on a three straight immunity challenge run to avoid getting voted out. He has too many friends on the jury that would vote for him which makes him the immediate danger for everyone else still remaining in the game. If he fails to win a 4-1 vote against him is simply odds on.

2. Kass

With the final 5 consisting of 3 brawns and 2 brains Kass easily slots into this position. Should Spencer claim next weeks immunity the simplest of votes would see Tony/Woo/Trish vote out Kass. It also makes the most sense strategically too as if this were the case come the F4 they will all be desperate to beat Spencer in the immunity challenge and Kass is physically the weakest player still in the game.

3. Woo

Arguably the potential victim of a blindside should one occur next week. Kass has great self awareness in the game even if her strategic moves have been questionable throughout. Should she perceive herself to be at the bottom of the pack if Spencer wins immunity next week her play would have to be to twist the brawn she is closest to, Trish to blindside a brawn, if this were the case they might choose Tony (who is obviously not going home), but if they chose Woo ... the blindside is on if they can attract Spencer. This would make little strategic sense though for the alliance with Woo being the most likely player to topple Spencer in an immunity challenge.

4. Trish

Another but less likely blindside would be Trish. Once more this requires that Spencer wins next weeks immunity challenge. Now we're at the final 5 the thoughts of players are firmly on F3 or F2 (whatever it is) especially Tony's with his idol. What would be the best F3 for Tony? He has a lackey in Woo who he could say to the jury was just following him, there is Kass who has betrayed just about everyone who will be on the jury which leaves ... Trish. It would be a gamble to make the F4 2 brawns and 2 brains with Kass' unpredictability but if Tony is willing to role the dice, in terms of winning the jury over, voting Trish next week is the best possible step for him should Spencer win the immunity challenge.

5. Tony

SCREW THE TP IDOL, I HATE IT WITH A PASSION!!!! Although I won't hate upon Tony, not his fault he has it. #Survivor
Points: 9 3 comments