Tony's paranoia is going to kill his chances of winning if he doesn't get his act together and quickly. Great play by Spencer/Tash though on heightening his paranoia.
Who is going to go next week though ...? It could go just about any direction right now.
Obviously Tony isn't going anywhere with the stupid TP idol (Can't they burn it like they did with the clues on BvW?) :D
Woo ... who is going to vote Woo whilst Tony's there and they don't know about his TP idol?
Trish ... it would be almost impossible to get a majority on Trish right now. Kass is tied to her wholly as are Tony and Woo to some extent also.
Kass ... this is the first time in a while that Kass could be in some danger. If Tony/Woo are still thinking about all girl alliances they are going to want to eliminate another girl but to get a definite majority on Kass, the help of Spencer would be needed again.
Spencer ... on contrary to Kass, I think for the first time in a while he is safe from next weeks vote. Tony/Woo can't vote him out, otherwise it leaves Tash alone to form the all girls alliance with Trish/Kass and it wouldn't be a wise move for Tash to get rid of her best ally either so I can't see a way that Spencer can go home.
Tasha ... is she doesn't win immunity, I fear the worst here. For all Tony's paranoia, he does recognise the threat Tasha and Spencer have if they make the F3. Tasha becomes doubly dangerous to Tony with him thinking about the possibility of an all girl alliance, Tasha would also be much easier to force a majority vote on with the large alliance (if they can pull it back together) forming a majority.
Next week's prediction: If fails to win Immunity, Tasha goes out 4-2 thanks to Tony/Woo/Trish/Kass. If Tasha wins immunity, Kass goes out 4-2 thanks to Tony/Woo/Spencer/Tash
The fact that kass has alot of hate from tony, tasha etc on twitter shows that she will be sticking around for a bit... my prediction is kass votes tasha out next tribal :( she goes and then tony gets just cut short of finals thanks to kass... idk, i would hate to think tasha gets voted out but for tasha to not like kass.... something is going to have to happen between the two
That's the problem I find when I think of the relationships going on around camp right now. Spencer/Tony/Woo won't eliminate each other, for Tony/Woo to eliminate Spencer it is suicide and for Spencer it's getting rid of his ticket further in the game. So the only majorities I can see is on one of the girls. As I say, I don't see how Trish can have a majority put on her so right now I'm definitely on Kass/Tasha going and if what you're saying is true ... I fear even more for Tasha now
yeah... but i have faith that tasha may stay another week because of the preview for next weeks episode :) Tony is a paranoid wreck and if he sees his alliance (kass, trish, woo) plotting against him, like it looks in the preview. If tony finds out i think it may take the pressure off tasha... im hoping kass' mouth will be the death of her. But my dream episode next episode would be, tasha wins immunity :) all 3 girls + spencer vote for tony, they vote for kass and tony flushes his TP idol (getting rid of the stupid thing) then trish, tasha and spencer make final 3 :D ....if only
That vote doesn't work from Spencer's thinking. Ignore the TP Idol for a second, why would Spencer vote out Tony? It would leave, him, Tash, Trish, Kass, Woo. This to me puts Spencer on the bottom without all the drama Trish/Kass/Woo get back on the same page and Spencer goes next with Tash having a chance to pull an all girls alliance together at F4 blindsiding Woo. Spencer won't make that move, he needs the next vote to be Kass
Yeah thats true.. spencer has a great knowledge of survivor and ultimatly he may decide to get rid of tony because of the threat label he has put on himself. If tony makes final 2/3 then he wins in a landslide vote! unlike russel, tony has played the villain card without actually pissing people off the way russel did. Plus tony will be a great jury speaker... i mean he is a cop!!! come on XD
So ultimatly if spencer can see that then he may goes with the girls but who knows.
when merge first came i was so rooting for an all brain final 3 but kass had to go and ruin it.
I couldn't disagree with you more there, I think Tony has ticked off his fair share of people this game and I can see a couple of people beating him when it comes to a jury vote. Current Jury members are:
Sarah
Morgan
LJ
Jeremiah
Jefra
Trish would most likely pick up LJ and Jefra's votes in this scenario and possibly Sarah's too if she is still bitter towards Tony.
Spencer picks up Morgan and Jeremiah's votes in an instant and there are possibilities of him earning Sarah's and Jefra's too.
Tasha, same votes as Spencer.
Tony really needs his F3 to be Woo and Kass but he is so caught up in his game he doesn't realise that.
