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Big Brother and online Hunger games.

Survivor Cagayan: Finale Prediction

May 21, 2014 by Ad555
imageThe much anticipated finale of #Survivor Cagayan airs tonight with for the first time in 10 seasons there being a final 2 instead of 3. The final 2 implication certainly raises questions as to tactics going into the final 2 tribal councils before the final tribal, but what is the most likeliest outcome of this season's Survivor?

The most likeliest winner: Spencer.

Should Spencer make the final tribal council tonight he should be able to easily get a majority against all 3 of his opponents. The best person for Spencer to be sat alongside in the jury would be Kass. Both being from the brains tribe Spencer can play the good guy to Kass villainous actions in the game. Spencer can say he was more physically dominant whilst at the same time staying true to his word and his allies, playing the game hard but impersonal.

Least likeliest winner: Kass

As aforementioned Kass' villainous antics within the game are going to make it the hardest for her to win. She has no chance of winning the jury over against Spencer. Put her up against another polarizing figure in Tony and she might just get a couple of votes, but Tony will get the majority based upon gameplay. I get that a lot of people like Kass and that she has made the season entertaining but she has really just committed every cardinal sin in the book, she has flipped on not 1 but 2 sets of allies, she flipped a certain hand gesture towards one of the jurors in Trish, annoyed the living daylights out of everyone and destroyed Tony's trust in her. She would struggle to win against even Woo on the jury, the likeable Woo vs the villain Kass could be close and go either way, but I'd give the edge to Woo. Although this is undoubtedly the F2 Kass needs to stand a chance.

How does Tony Win?

For Tony to win it is very simple, eliminate Spencer. The moment Spencer is eliminated from the game is the moment Tony becomes favourite to win Survivor Cagayan. He should win against either Woo or Kass as he can say Woo was his follower and Kass is the villain of the piece and not himself. He needs to stay on his toes and not get eliminated himself though, with the elimination of Trish, Tony is now without a true ally in the game. He may need to win an immunity in this final episode to keep his chances of F2 alive, something he has only done once thus far.

How does Woo Win?

Woo winning survivor would need for him to be up against Kass. Woo's problem is, he is a big target for the tribal votes now. Before last week he was merely a follower incapable of winning the game or seemingly making a strategical move, now however thanks to his move he becomes this big target. Having flipped with Kass, nobody is going to vote Kass as they want to sit next to her come the final 2. Woo's best chance of F2 comes by winning the F4 immunity. The departure of Tony or Spencer at the F4 puts Woo in a great position to push himself into final tribal council.

My Prediction:

Although Spencer is most likely to win should he make the final tribal council, I question whether or not he'll make it. He'll need to win both immunities otherwise he leaves the game instantly on a 3-1 at F4 or 1-0 vote at F3. It may seem predictable but he has been given all the edit, so I think Tony is going to become one of the more controversial winners of Survivor. Perhaps not his fault, I just hope if any lesson is taken from this season it is that never again will there be a Tyler Perry Idol with special powers.

Final 4 Immunity: Spencer wins
Final 4 Tribal: Woo goes out 3-1
Final 3 Immunity: Tony Wins
Final 3 Tribal: Spencer out 1-0
Final Tribal Council: Tony 7-2 Kass.

Comments

+12
Sent by m7md26,May 21, 2014
Omg I can't wait.... 15 hours and counting
Sent by me2013,May 21, 2014
Worst theory ever
Sent by IceIceBaby,May 21, 2014
iceicebaby and when it turns out to be right??
Sent by Ad555,May 21, 2014
It won't be because Tony's edit is too big for a winners edit
Sent by IceIceBaby,May 21, 2014
IceIceBaby
I hope when tony wins that sandra and natalie break down crying because they relies how worthless they were the whole game and that they now see what a real winner is. That would be the icing on the cake.

Tony best winner ever!
Sent by Sackeshi,May 21, 2014

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