Ok, so with 8 people in the final episode one person will leave this Wednesday episode.
Then my predictions will be a Duel opening the finale on Sunday, winner of that gets back into the game. That would leave 5 people roughly 20 mins into the game when you count the intro, recap, challenge, and the reaction of this happening.
Then there shoulds be 2 challenges and 2 rewards narrowing it down to 3 people and then the jury.
1. Rob Mariano (78.4)
What new can I say about the Robfather. Lets analyze the stats. His numbers are at a record high. My records only have 5 people finishing higher than him right now. Tom Westman - Pulau (85.07), JT Thomas Jr - Tocantins (82.3), Oscar "Ozzy" Lusth - Cook Islands (82.13), Brian Heidik - Thailand (81.28), Rob Mariano - AllStars (78.94)
Now before I start to hype Rob up. the stats aren't final because unless he gets a perfect jury vote his outwit score will go down some. And there is a chance he doesn't win another challenge. Personally I think JT, Brian and Rob's first time had much harder competition than Redemption Island. That is something I can't calculate until the show ends. So once I do that I predict his score to be deflated some.
2. Grant Mattos (72.9)
Grant on the other hand is sitting right between #36 Tom Buchanan and #37 Clay Jordan.
Grant you are my only hope. I am pulling for the guy. The girls have done nothing. Philip has been playing too hard/bad, Rob has had an unfair advantage, and everyone on redemption island has already been voted out at least once, Outcast/Lillian syndrome.
3. Natalie Tenerelli (72.1)
I guess I have to try to give her a recap since she is looking like the winner. (also the youngest and hottest winner) I don't see her going home this week. She is the only one I consider 100% safe.
Lets run the only scenario of her going home. Ashley, Grant and Philip vote for Natalie because they suspect Rob using his idol.
3. Mike Chiesl (72.1)
Tied for third. but at a very big disadvantage because he must win the rest of the challenges to get to the finals where Natalie could lose the rest of the challenges.
5. Ashley Underwood (70.8)
She has to make a big move. Im hoping that when Rob is upset because his plans are screwed up, he is referencing Ashley winning immunity since she is the one to go home this next week.
6. Andrea Boehlke (66.2)
My girl is gone :(. It's sad to see her go, but she never made her killer move. had she made the move she would have been in the driver's seat but she never did. I don't see her coming back into the game, so much so that I changed my overall pick to Natalie, who is bound to make the finals.
7. Matt Elrod (64.7)
Where Mike and Andrea was only voted out once, he was voted out twice. I dont know if the God vote will push him to the victory if he makes the finals. Right now I count that he can easily get: Mike, Steve, Julie, and Andrea. I think the best shot for Matt would be a split vote from the other two finalist.
8. Philip Sheppard (62.9)
The family visit he eludes to this all being an act. But I'm still not buying it. His act almost got him kicked out so many times. And I really don't think the Andy Kaufman strategy is the best when your stripped to your core.
9. Ralph Kiser (62.2)
No move to prove that he can Outwit, no win to prove that he can win the challenge.
10. Julie Wolfe (60.6*) - OUT
11. Sarita White (60.0*) - OUT
12. Steve Wright (57.2) - OUT
13. David Murphy (50.3) - OUT
14. Stephanie Valencia (40.3) - OUT
15. Krista Klumpp (37.5) - OUT
16. Kristina Kell (31.0) - OUT
17. Russell Hantz (30.8) - OUT
18. Francesca Hogli (10.7) - OUT
