following my HEART and HUNCHES for this semi-final because for semi 1 I let the press skew my prediction by making me think that albania and latvia were going through over lithuania and iceland (who I initially had predicted as qualifiers)
Finland
Serbia
Azerbaijan
San Marino
Australia
Cyprus
Estonia
Poland
Sweden
Czech Republic
Albania
Latvia
Ukraine
Netherlands
Moldova
Portugal
Austria
Norway
Greece
Armenia
notes:
- Ukraine, Greece, Norway, Netherlands, Armenia and Portugal are the safest I think.
- Greece wins the jury vote, and Ukraine wins the televote.
- If there's a big shock NQ I'd bet on the Netherlands (since the stage show is underwhelming), but I don't think there's anything to worry about.
- For months I thought Moldova was 100% in but after seeing the rehearsal footage I thought they were out, but now I think they're back in after hearing that they got the biggest reaction in the jury show.
- I've always thought Austria would be saved by a big televote, but I also think that jurors looking for a radio hit will have it in their top ten.
- I'm not SOLD on Albania and I think there's a lot of potential for them to not qualify.
- Latvia has convinced me after seeing their Turin performances. It looks much better on TV and the energy is infectious.
- I NEED Lithuania to qualify but I'm not getting my hopes up. I fear it gets lost in the semi-final.
