**Merge Assessment**
Overall, this season has had a very meh premerge. I personally enjoyed the few rounds of Occultus Island more than the actual game. However, I think the merge is going to be much better than the premerge and maybe will see some actual chaos as it seems tensions are high.
JetRocks12 - AJ, is viewed as a threat in the game but not the top of mind target. I think if AJ can avoid the target in these early tribal's then he can make a run. However, I think his name will come up early for plans in case "someone has an idol". Overall, I don't think AJ will win but he has that potential for like that 5th or 6th place edit.
iYBF - Anthony, is likely going to win this season or just fall short for the following reasons. He has great relationships with everyone in the game, good at competitions, and is sound strategically. Anthony's worst enemy is himself if he tries to go out and wins challenges early. He needs to hold himself back a bit unless my analysis is wrong.
BarbraStreisand - Barbra has an edge. I think she has chaos Kass potential if she lasts long enough. She has inklings to work with her OG group but hates Jordan with a burning passion. It wouldn't surprise me if she jumps shift early but she seems like a key cog how this season is going to play out. Maybe she'll be a hated runner-up.
LaFierceBrittany2 - Last returnee standing, no problem. Brittany is definitely the leader of her alliance and has played an exceptional game to this point. What Brittany needs to do is eliminate the threats to her like Nolan to carve a path to the end. I think Brittany has good odds of making the finale, but it wouldn't surprise me if she was one of the first boots in single digits.
rabbaj - Jabbar is well, always the same. He plays both sides very well and is social enough to the point that people don't view him as a threat. I think the only two people Jabbar has got to watch out for are Barbra and Ryan. If Barbra gets her way then Jabbar is going home early. If it's the former it wouldn't surprise me if Jabbar is darkhorse to win. These early rounds will be pretty vital. Also, needs to worry to not come off as irritating.
Rodrigues75 - I'm happy Jake returned. He's been rational a good majority of the game and hasn't made waves. He's in a good alliance with Brittany, but has he been connecting with other people? That's where I'm hesitant. Jake, has played a perfect premerge game, but will he evolve as an individual. He's going to have to assert his presence in the game at some point.
jman96 - I love Jordan. He's a nice guy and is trying to entertain the casuals. However, it just comes off as a bit awkward and forced. But, I do like Jordan's commitment and that will be redundant when he eventually reads this because other hosts say the same thing. I don't think Jordan can win the game unless he's like an underdog figure. A majority of people dislike him but that doesn't mean he won't go deep.
mbarnish1 - Ask me at the beginning of the season if I thought Matt had any shot of making merge? My answer would be nah he seems like a filler. Matt, has been better than I expected despite the lack of confessionals. He really did a good job on OI and despite my bias for rather having Josh be in the game over him. Who is going after Matt? I doubt anyone! Pencil him into finale and maybe final tribal council.
mysterygame2 - Nolan is a wildcard. I know he'll likely go after to Brit but he seems like he's half-assing a bit because of his personality this season. Maybe, he's really trying and this is his way of showing it. Overall, Nolan and the "revolving door" is very possible and wouldn't be surprising if he left. However, if Nolan got to live the final seven that's a victory.
Robbyjak - Robby is only going to last a while if Anthony keeps the vote away from him. Other than that, he's going to be mentioned as a target for a while. My guess is Robby is one of the early jury regardless. Robby will need to win a boatload of competitions and find an idol or two.
Iceey - I'm pretty back-and-forth on where he's going to end up. Is he in the finale, winner or is he just going to get voted out? I've got no clue, but he does have an idol that's good for a couple more rounds. I think Ryan's biggest issue is going to be dealing with mega personalities and how he socializes because he can come off as irritating too like Jabbar.