Aaryn - Can squeeze through to the end by trying to outlast her remaining alliance members and getting recognized as the villain to take to F2. I don't think there is anyone she could beat, but she could take 2nd. Would she even win over Ginamarie? But 2nd is not that bad.
PREDICTION: None. Could go home any time or make it to 2nd.
Amanda - Amanda is sitting superficially pretty pretty right now, but that very fact will make her a huge target. She needs to sit back a bit and Helen gets taken out without getting any blood on Amanda's hands. She should keep Jeremy in the game as a target to shield her as long as possible and also as a possible person to take to the end. If Helen leaves before Amanda, it is Amanda's game to lose.
Prediction: Out 7th place or later.
Candice - Candice could win if she were willing to take a hated person to finals. She will not do this, however. And hence there is no path to victory for her.
Prediction: Out 6th place or later.
Elissa - She needs every power player (to the extent that there are power players in there this year *sigh*) out, in order to beat out one of the weaker women. Her boot list should read Somethin like: Jeremy, Howard, Helen, Spencer, Amanda
Prediction: Out 9th place or later.
GinaMarie - No. Only has a path to 2nd, and not a good one of those either. No comment.
Prediction - Out 12th place or later.
Helen - Helen's game is about where Elissa's is right now. I would give her a similar boot list.Jeremy, Howard, Spencer, Amanda, Elissa
Out: 5th or later.
Jessie - No path.
Prediction: No comment.
Kaitlin - No path.
Prediction: No comment.
Andy - No path.
Prediction: Out whenever someone needs to take over an HoH
Howard - Try to make sure the A-hole alliance does not get eradicated. Keep just one and try to take them to the end. Keep deflecting negative energy onto e.g. Spencer and others.
Prediction: Out 9th place or later.
Jeremy - Almost no path. Jeremy needs to flip the house to win. He could do it with an HoH. I would recommend Jeremy attempt to completely reorganize the house and end up with a "targets alliance" of Helen, McCrae-Amanda and Himself. He will need lots of help if that were to happen. But once people see who is in a great position in the house, this sort of thing becomes more feasible. The groundwork is already laid down for this, since he told everyone he was going to flip himself if people did not vote out Elissa. He fake patches things up with McCrae and then cuts him at the last minute.
Prediction: Out 11th place or later.
Judd - Needs to stay under the radar and take a chick who is not Amanda or Helen to finals.
Prediction: Out 4th place or later.
McCrae - Similar to Amanda, except that he is a worse position because of Spencer/Howard/Jeremy. Outing the MC was a good first step. To win, he needs one of those three to go home soonish and then try to ride it out with Amanda before cutting her at the end in favor of an a-hole or boring chick. He won't be able to cut Amanda though. So I'm not sure this is really a path.
Prediction: Out 6th place or later.
Spencer - Needs to reorganize the house. Completely screwed up his game not sticking with MC. Very bad position. Needs to do something like what I said Jeremy should do, only he has no credibility in his pocket with which to do it. No path to 1st ATM.
Prediction out 12th place or later.
