So i figure ill post my weekly thoughts on the chances of different people and will do the same for TAR and BB.
First off, i would like to say that right now Ace is in a bit of a pickle due to his alienation of Kelly by voting off Paloma :( . he has matty and sugar, but crystal ken and kelly will stick together. also if there is another tribe swap, he would not be well recieved by the remaining members of "the onion" due to him perhaps being seen as having a hand in jaquie's elimination.
As for ken, kelly, and crystal (from now on to be referred to as the snoopers), they were just plain silly not to blindside sugar, especially as GC was probably going to quit anyway and why not maintain the majority (and also get rid of a weak physical teammate). now they're in a 3-3 situation.
as for the yellow people, i dont see them losing anytime soon at this rate and if the merge happens soon like i expect it too, we may see a nice little pagonging performed by kota :) dan is rather stupid but thats ok he'll be an easy target when bob, charlie, marcus, and corrinne need to off someone.
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Dan is a threat in the merge too but he is still one of my favs, it kind of sux cause my 3 favs since episode 1 are kelly, dan, and matty and they are all in different alliances pretty much, i dont think matty will be loyal to the old Fang when they merge
my favorites at the start were paloma, corrine, marcus, and jaquie and i was hoping theyd get together and now to of them are out :( oh well i am beginning to respect ace's gamesmanship (a.k.a. manipulate sugar...)
