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Big Brother and online Hunger games.

CONTESTANT RANKING ON LIKELYHOOD TO WIN:

Mar 21, 2019 by RArsenault
#survivor
1st: Lauren (+0) I still think that Lauren is our winner. These two episodes were good for her. She got very good premerge content...while also not forcing content on us. I continue to get Parvati Micronesia vibes from Lauren. If you guys remember...Parvati had a very subdued pre merge in Micronesia. However...when they gave her content it was GOOD CONTENT. I think this is true with Lauren. We saw Laurens raw emotion, we also saw her long term strategy. I also like that the Lesu content ended with David/Kelley taking Laurens side over Wardog. I think that highlights Laurens good position on the tribe.

2nd: Victoria (+0) I think Victoria is a VERY possible winner. I think she got very good content, and these last few episodes were able to showcase her strategy. The reason I am ranking Victoria below Lauren...is I don't believe Victoria got any personal content? I think I'm right? I get quite game bot vibs from her. HOWEVER....I think the move against Aubry truly showcased how much Victoria PLAYED Aubry. Not even about the Victoria/Gavin/Eric trio taking her out...it was all about Victoria playing Aubry. The only thing that makes me nervous about this is I don't think Aubry's time in this game is over. So Victoria's content might just be to set up a further battle between the two. HOWEVER...I really do think Victoria is establishing herself as force in this game.

3rd: Eric (+0) These two episodes were great for Eric. I think we saw him a decent amount. This coupled with his good premiere episode...really makes me think Eric is a threat to win this game edit wise. His last three episodes really picked up airtime. Despite Victoria being credited for the move, I do think there was focus kinda showing Eric/Victoria were running the show. (With Gavin following along) I think Eric is another good canidate.

4th: Julie (+2) Good episodes for her! She finally got content about STRATEGY. Now we have the strategy with personal information. I do think that we are still missing key alliances...but I think merge will be a big episode for how we can expect Julie to fare.

5th: Kelley (+0) IDOL QUEEN YASS SLAY. I was very happy with Kelley's edit last night. It was very positive, and I didn't think there was ANY negative tone to it. I think Kelley found her footing within the Lesu 4...and is clearly the one in charge. HOWEVER...in terms of winning...I really find it unlikely at this point. I think in terms of returnees she has the best shot...however she got ALOT of negative content in the first few episodes...and I don't know if that is good for her. However..since most of the cast still in the game was ghosted by the edit premerge....not many people for her to compete against.

6th: David (+4) I was impressed with his edit in those episodes! We even got some personal content pertaining to his life back home, and how he wants to take more risks. I still think Kelley's edit is more 3 dimensional than his...HOWEVER I think he is an underdog worst rooting for!

7th: Joe (+5) I think this episode was decent for Joe. We saw him trying to find footing in the game. And what he did say to Julia seemed to stick. Instead of her responding "I am gonna lie to him", she in her confessional seemed to be aware and eager to hear what Joe had to say. I still find it hard to believe that he wins...since Jeff gets a big boner off of Joe..so I don't know why his edit would be so quiet if he was our winner. But he is definetly better off than the people below him.

8th: Ron (-4) Dissapointing episode for Ron. Like WTF? Last episode was all about getting him out? And now all of a sudden he wants to keep Joe? Idgi? Also his content was SOOO quiet. Literally nothing. That mixed with his only GOOD content now means almost nothing. (His advantage was circumstantial, and he went back on his wanting to get Joe out sentiment) Very low chance Ron wins.

9th: Wardog (-1) Wardog is in trouble. I think both episodes were bad for him. He comes off way too arrogant and demanding...and it definetly was not critical for the narrative. I think he is the only remaining Lesu that has a ZERO percent chance of winning.

10th: Julia (+4) QUEEN GOT 2 CONFESSIONALS! Yes! I think this is awesome. And it was ACTUAL STRATEGY. Not just "wow our tribe is chilling enjoying all these rewards from challenges". I think her first 4 episodes keeps her out of the running though.

11th: Aurora (+2) Literally has had NO CONTENT. Shown to be a lesbian obsessed with Joe in episode 1, and then got some silly generic confessional episode 2. DEFINETLY NOT WINNING.

12th: Gavin: (-3) People might not like this...but he is NOT winning. This episode was TERRIBLE FOR HIM. He literally got zero content...and was shown to be Erics laptop, and Victorias little dumb brother. Also...Gavin is a MAN. Which means his edit should be better than it is. I HATE THIS...but we have to face it....Survivor editing is SOOO sexist. A women can have a more subdued premerge than a man in this game. Therefore...in my mind Gavin having VERY LITTLE content puts him below Julia/Aurora.

IOE (chance of returning BASED ON EDIT)
1) Aubry: He edit screams UNFININISHED BUSINESS
2) Chris: He also had a confessional last week that made me think he returned
3) Rick: How many confessionals are we going to get about him being able to read a fucking map? LIKE WTF. WASTE OF MY FUCKING TIME.
4) Keith: LMAO. Literally can't stand him. Also he is NOT getting back in.
5) Reem: I love Reem, but her edit does not point to any unfinished business.

OVERALL TIERS OF WINNERS: ONLY THOSE IN GAME

TIER 1: Lauren/Eric/Victoria
TIER 2: Julie
TIER 3: David/Kelley/Joe
TIER 4: Ron/Wardog
TIER 5: Julia/Gavin/Aurora

Comments

YES LAUREN
Sent by Kaseyhope101,Mar 21, 2019
You forgot Wendy
Sent by PowerRankings101,Mar 22, 2019

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