Since Semi Final 1 of Eurovision is tomorrow, I have decided to make a prediction on what I think will happen tomorrow! Also this is the hardest semi final I have ever witnessed in my entire life and it's not fair that only 10 can qualify because they all deserve to and I can guarantee my rankings are going to be wrong because literally ANYTHING could happen and I'm not emotionally prepared. Also, my apologies for all of the 55% and 50% I gave out because I honestly have no clue what is going to happen tomorrow. ANYWAYS
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1. Azerbaijan
X My Heart by Aisel
Chance of qualifying - 55%
A very good and safe opener this year. The song is extremely catchy which will win over televotes, but this could honestly go either way, as the juries could potentially crush this.
2. Iceland
Our Choice by Ari Ólafsson
Chance of qualifying - 15%
Honestly the only song I feel like I can absolutely rule out. While his vocals are great, the song is weak and does absolutely nothing
3. Albania
Mall by Eugent Bushpepa
Chance of qualifying - 50%
Arguably the best male vocals of the year, which could help him win over the jury votes. However, I worry he'll get lost later on, especially when compared to countries like Austria
4. Belgium
A Matter of Time by Sennek
Chance of qualifying - 55%
Honestly, this one let me down a lot in rehearsals. She looks lost and her vocals seem extremely weak. Could see her missing out of the final this year as a result
5. Czech Republic
Lie to Me by Mikolas Josef
Chance of qualifying - 75%
An icon. He brings an upbeat pop song to the contest, which I think will help him stand out from the songs before him and on the recap. While his staging has taken a blow, I think his charisma should allow him to still qualify
6. Lithuania
When We're Old by Ieva Zasimauskaitė
Chance of qualifying - 55%
I honestly feel like this one could sneak through. It's just a beautiful song that I think could either win over the juries and the televotes, or be viewed as a song thats a bore and goes no where. Here's to hoping it's the latter
7. Israel
Toy by Netta
Chance of qualifying - 85%
Considering how tough this semi is, I don't think this is a certain qualifier. While I feel like it'll qualify since it's one of the few upbeat songs in the semi, I don't think it's a given that it'll qualify
8. Belarus
Forever by ALEKSEEV
Chance of qualifying - 50%
While the stage show is there, I don't think the song is which will cause Belarus to miss the final this year
9. Estonia
La Forza by Elina Nechaeyva
Chance of qualifying - 100%
My first certain qualifier of the night. A beautiful dress, performance, and voice will help Estonia sail through this year
10. Bulgaria
Bones by Equinox
Chance of qualifying - 100%
I also think this is a very safe qualifier this year. Their staging looks great, the song is solid, and their harmonies are just wonderful
11. Macedonia
Lost and Found by Eye Cue
Chance of qualifying - 50%
While this is my personal favorite, I'm not keen on its chances of qualifying. Supposedly it looked better tonight, but from rehearsals the performance just looked messy, which could cause this to fail to qualify
12. Croatia
Crazy by Franka
Chance of qualifying - 55%
A very slick and simple performance, which I think works very well for this type of song. While the song is a little bland, I could see this as a potential sneak through
13. Austria
Nobody But You by Cesár Sampson
Chance of qualifying - 55%
This song annoys me because I can guarantee you it'll be a jury favorite, but one that the public doesn't rate high. Juries alone should allow this to sail through
14. Greece
Oniro you by Yianna Terzi
Chance of qualifying - 55%
While this is a beautiful and ethnical song, I could still see this struggling. The staging is a bit bland, and I can't see too many people getting behind this song
15. Finland
Monsters by Saara Aalto
Chance of qualifying - 60%
While many think she could flop, I think she'll be fine. Her vocals are great, she has a great performance, and many of Finland/Saara's friendly countries are voting in this semi
16. Armenia
Qami by Sevak Khanagyan
Chance of qualifying - 55%
While I don't like this song, Sevak's vocals are great and really add to this song, which I think could allow it to potentially qualify
17. Switzerland
Stones by ZiBBZ
Chance of qualifying - 50%
Sadly, Switzerland was placed in the stronger semi yet again. While this is a good song, it doesn't stand out and I doubt will make much impact
18. Ireland
Together by Ryan O'Shaughnessy
Chance of qualifying - 55%
A beautiful performance and a beautiful song that I fear sadly isn't enough for Ireland to break their non qualification streak this year
19. Cyprus
Fuego by Eleni Foureira
Chance of qualifying - 100%
Winner of this semi. Catchy song, great performance and choreography, and everything just works fantastically
1. Cyprus
2. Estonia
3. Bulgaria
4. Israel
5. Czech Republic
6. Finland
7. Greece
8. Austria
9. Lithuania
10. Azerbaijan
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11. Croatia
12. Armenia
13. Belgium
14. Belarus
15. Ireland
16. Albania
17. Switzerland
18. Macedonia
19. Iceland
Honestly, I could see anything happening tomorrow and don't think anyone is safe. Send prayers for your favorites
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Also please feel free to leave your thoughts/opinions down below :)
Very safe qualifier in Semi 2 :) While I'm not the biggest fan of their song this year, Ukraine is still my favorite Eurovision country and I always wish them the best!! I could see a top 10 finish this year for them as well
If anything different were to occur, I agree that it would be regarding Greece/Austria not qualifying and Belgium/Armenia qualifying
I think between Armenia and Austria only one of them can qualify, and I feel like Austria is more appealing to a general audience and the jury. Plus, Armenia is starting at a possible 24 points lower than everyone else due to Azerbaijan
And ultimately I think Greece will make it because of their neighbors in the semi. While all of the Greek vote could be directed at Cyprus (which is very likely), Cyprus/Bulgaria/Albania/Macedonia will all supply Greece with substantial votes, and then they'd only need a few more to push through. Belgium doesn't have any friends in this semi, and Sennek's performance has REALLY been lacking, which I think will cause to her *shock* non qualification
